Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.345213 3.607206 3.891277 4.224238 4.606511 5.035013 5.556472
2026-01-25 3.268783 3.688188 4.179545 4.808385 5.608409 6.617208 8.030049
2026-02-01 2.886023 3.326122 3.861219 4.577040 5.538942 6.836022 8.817822
2026-02-08 2.590478 3.027921 3.573257 4.325499 5.376747 6.867117 9.306290
2026-02-15 2.428656 2.877711 3.451359 4.267258 5.454272 7.229285 10.367058
2026-02-22 2.276014 2.724757 3.308784 4.159475 5.437490 7.434601 11.209469
2026-03-01 2.126180 2.564225 3.142040 3.998495 5.316391 7.446570 11.694602
2026-03-08 1.981778 2.402196 2.961921 3.801710 5.116045 7.292849 11.810709
2026-03-15 1.914809 2.340236 2.915291 3.795642 5.213342 7.661964 13.120684
2026-03-22 1.849452 2.276416 2.861165 3.772299 5.277407 7.979022 14.431201
2026-03-29 1.786812 2.212884 2.803134 3.737301 5.316189 8.252635 15.748376
2026-04-05 1.777951 2.223527 2.852208 3.872711 5.664189 9.204793 19.411687
2026-04-12 1.747956 2.208843 2.872028 3.978743 6.006139 10.309696 24.831221
2026-04-19 1.817529 2.343080 3.128808 4.514855 7.291427 14.223266 50.468312
2026-04-26 1.714387 2.215509 2.968259 4.305459 7.015629 13.936084 52.863288
2026-05-03 1.615151 2.089692 2.804120 4.077506 6.672893 13.373503 52.483898
2026-05-10 1.560214 2.028236 2.739391 4.024608 6.706255 13.960915 64.095321
2026-05-17 1.500215 1.956459 2.654038 3.926599 6.624951 14.169671 73.691659
2026-05-24 1.434438 1.873435 2.546578 3.779939 6.415014 13.899756 77.091309
2026-05-31 1.365753 1.783863 2.425076 3.600195 6.111816 13.251722 73.749595
2026-06-07 1.335464 1.752189 2.396953 3.594644 6.215724 14.051681 98.626643
2026-06-14 1.304011 1.717475 2.362028 3.573286 6.279210 14.744096 133.181143
2026-06-21 1.272409 1.681383 2.323095 3.541252 6.312493 15.346463 183.440453